Appendix to Accompany “ Winter Blues : A SAD Stock Market Cycle ”

نویسندگان

  • Mark J. Kamstra
  • Lisa A. Kramer
  • Maurice D. Levi
چکیده

In this Appendix, we provide the entire set of additional robustness checks mentioned throughout, but not included within, the original paper. The order in which the tables are presented corresponds to the order in which the results are mentioned in the original paper, with the exception of the table containing returns to various trading strategies, Table A10, which appears last and has its own notes. Notes to Tables A1-A9: There are multiple parts and multiple pages to each table. In all cases, figures in parentheses are robust standard errors. Estimates marked with one, two, or three asterisks are significant at the 10 percent, 5 percent, or 1 percent level respectively. In Panel B of Table A3, we report the value of the log-likelihood function, the p-value from a χ2 test for autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) up to 10 lags, and the p-value from a χ2 test for residual autocorrelation up to 10 lags. In Panel B of other tables we report the R2 for each regression as well as the p-value from a χ2 test for residual autocorrelation up to 10 lags. (Note that for some small-cap or equal-weighted indices, we were unable to eliminate evidence of residual autocorrelation with the simple model specifications adopted here. Likewise, with the maximum likelihood estimation, for some indices we were unable to eliminate evidence of ARCH or residual autocorrelation over the full samples.)

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تاریخ انتشار 2003